Xavier Llegorreta
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Archive by Category: Globalization

Has Guaido’s movement given false hope to Venezuelans?

Every party in the Venezuelan parliament supports self-declared president Juan Guaido, rejecting criticism that the opposition against President Nicolas Maduro is divided. Guaido has said he will not rule out authorizing US military intervention in Venezuela

“After many years of the international community blaming us, saying you can’t get your act together,” it was now behaving “like a bunch of squabbling children at the time when we have our act together. That is a betrayal of my people,” 

The Venezuelan National Assembly voted in March to back appointment as a representative of Juan Guaido, the president of the assembly, who appointed himself Interim President of Venezuela weeks after declaring Maduro`s Inauguration as President on January 10 illegitimate. Guaido and his supporters say as leader of the assembly he has a constitutional mandate to act as interim president until new elections. 

Many nations have supported his Leadership including the US, Canada, most of the European Union and all but a few of the Latin American countries in the Lima Group.

“Putin is giving us support on all levels and we have received it with much pleasure and gratitude,” Maduro told Russian media in January. But Russia and China continue to support Maduro – who has taken billions of dollars in loans from them – and warn against interference from abroad, though Russia itself says it has soldiers in Venezuela cooperating with the Military.

Final phase?

Despite gaining some vital international legitimacy for his movement, Guaido has been unable to dislodge Maduro from the presidential palace.

On April 30, Guaidó said the final Phase of the campaign to oust Nicolas Maduro had begun and urged Venezuelans via Twitter to “take to the streets to support democratic forces and recover our freedom.”

That the revolt had failed to convince enough of the military to desert Maduro, who said after the opposition action that “loyal and obedient” troops had stopped the coup-mongering far Right.

The problem is that we have Cuban intelligence officers … following their children and preventing them from rising up. Before Juan Guaido took office there were over 12 military uprising attempts by the military spontaneously.

International escalation

U.S. President Donald Trump has failed to rule out military action in Venezuela, a move warned against by the Lima Group and which the EU’s chief diplomat, Federica Mogherini, said would be “unacceptable.”

Is Guaido’s opposition movement going ahead with discussions on military action without caring what the international community think? They are looking at all the options. They are also involved in conversations and negotiations to find a peaceful solution.

Amnesty before justice?

“The offer is now and has always been on the table for them [the Maduro regime] to leave the country peacefully, on a plane, get out … take their ill-gotten $500 to $800 billion that they have stolen … and leave and let us get back to Democracy.

So was there to be no accountability for offenders in the Regime?

Should be created a plan for transitional justice. It’s in the governance plan for transitional justice and the truth and reconciliation commission, which happens after you have regime Change. The world will follow the international standard on this.

In January, Human Rights Watch said that any amnesty that guaranteed impunity by absolving government and military officials responsible for the most serious human rights violations is incompatible with Venezuela’s international obligations.”

Guaido has clearly stated, that anybody who is not guilty of crimes against humanity can be offered amnesty. Those who are guilty of crimes against humanity do not get amnesty.